Glossary & Definitions

New to card breaking? Here's a guide to the terms you'll see on BreakersDNA and across the hobby — including how our live percentages and value estimates are computed.

About the numbers on this page

Every percentage, ratio, value, and prediction on BreakersDNA — including HLI, dHLI, RCP, TWP, Floor/Ceiling, Top Chase EV, and per-spot odds — is an estimate built from the best data available to us at the moment it's shown. They reflect manufacturer-published odds, market comps, manifest contents, and live break activity, combined with statistical modeling. They can be inaccurate, will change as new data lands, and should never be treated as a guarantee of any specific outcome or pull.

BreakersDNA makes no warranties or guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of any figure displayed, and is not responsible for purchase decisions made in reliance on them. Card values fluctuate continuously and actual pull results can and will differ from estimates. For the full legal terms governing your use of the service, see our Terms of Service.

Breaking Basics

Break: A live event where sealed card products are opened on stream. Buyers purchase spots (teams, players, or numbers) and receive the cards that match their spot.
Breaker: The person running the break, opening packs on camera.
Spot: A position in a break (e.g., a team, player, or number). Buying a spot means you'll receive all cards that match it.
Hit: A high-value card pull, typically worth more than the break's hit threshold.
Chase Card: A specific rare or high-value card that buyers are hoping to pull.
Rip / Ripping: Opening sealed packs of cards. When a break is "ripping," packs are actively being opened live.

Product Types

Wax: Factory-sealed boxes or packs from the card manufacturer.
Repack: Packs assembled by a third-party repacker with curated contents and a manifest listing every card inside.
Manifest: A detailed list of every card in a repack product, including predicted values and comparable sale data.
Case: A sealed box containing multiple packs.

Break Formats

Team Break: Spots are teams. You get every card pulled for your team.
Player Break: Spots are individual players. You get every card for your player.
Division Break: Spots are divisions (groups of teams). You get every card from teams in your division.
Conference Break: Spots are conferences. Fewer spots, more teams per spot.
Pick Your Team (PYT): Buyers choose their team before ripping begins, rather than being randomly assigned.
Pick Your Card (PYC): Buyers select specific cards from a manifest after ripping.
Random Break: Numbered spots with completely random card assignment.

Values & Analytics

PV (Predicted Value): An estimated market value based on recent comparable sales from sources like Card Ladder, Card Hedge, and eBay.
Floor: The conservative (low) end of the estimated value range for a break's inventory.
Ceiling: The optimistic (high) end of the estimated value range for a break's inventory.
EV (Expected Value): The statistical value of a spot compared to what you paid. Helps you understand if a spot is priced fairly.
Comp: A comparable recent sale used to estimate a card's current market value.
Hit Threshold: The minimum card value to qualify as a "hit" in a break. Set by the breaker for each break.

BreakersDNA Features

HLI™ (Hit Likelihood Index): A static "1 in X packs" figure derived from the product manifest — the expected frequency that a manufacturer-listed high-value pull (autograph, patch card, or numbered parallel) appears once across the full break.
dHLI™ (Dynamic HLI): The live version of HLI. A "hit" is any manufacturer-listed high-value pull — typically autographs, patch cards, or numbered parallels. dHLI tracks the real-time "1 in X" frequency that a hit is still in the remaining unopened packs, and updates live as each pack is opened.
RCP™ (Remaining Chase Probability): The live chance that at least one of the still-unpulled chase cards on this break gets pulled before the break ends. Recomputes after every pack so the percentage reflects exactly what's left.
TWP™ — Top Remaining Value, by Team (full-manifest repacks): For repack breaks where we know the full manifest (every card in every pack), TWP answers: "which still-unsold team has the most card value left to pull?" For each team, we add up the market price of every card in the manifest that hasn't been pulled yet, then express that as a share of the total remaining value across all teams. A team showing 18% means roughly 18 cents of every dollar of value still left in the inventory belongs to that team's cards. The overlay shows the top 3 teams that are still available to buy and updates live as spots sell and packs open — sold teams drop out of the leaderboard because viewers can't act on them. This is a value-share read, not a probability: it doesn't guarantee a team will hit a chase card.
TWP™ — Chance of a Chase Card, by Team (wax & chase-list breaks): For wax pack breaks and chase-list repacks (where we only know the published chase list and odds, not the full pack contents), TWP shifts to estimated probability. For each team, we take the chase cards we know about, look at each one's manufacturer odds (e.g. "1 in 24 packs"), and combine them across the remaining packs to estimate the chance the team gets AT LEAST ONE chase card by the end of the break. A chase that has already been pulled for a team locks that team at 100%. Chases without published odds are excluded — we don't fabricate numbers. The overlay shows the top 3 unsold teams and updates live as packs open. These are estimates based on independence between packs and the data we have: they are NOT guarantees, and actual outcomes can and will differ.
Parallel Hit Probability: Per-parallel chance that at least one card of a given tier (e.g. Prizm Gold /10, Refractor Red /5) lands across the remaining packs. Computed from manufacturer-published "1 in N packs" odds combined with how many packs are left to open.
EVI™ (Expected Value Insights): Real-time intelligence on break value that changes as teams sell and cards are pulled.
Overlay: A visual display shown on the breaker's live stream with real-time PV, hits, and analytics.
BreakerView™: The breaker-facing control center for managing live breaks and syncing data.

Card Terms

Parallel / Tier: A variant edition of a card (e.g., chrome, refractor, numbered). Parallels are typically rarer and more valuable than the base version.
Graded: A card that has been professionally authenticated and scored by a grading company like PSA or BGS. Higher grades mean better condition and higher value.
Ungraded: A card that hasn't been professionally graded. Also called "raw."
Auto: An autographed card—signed by the player.
SP / SSP: Short Print / Super Short Print—cards with limited production runs, making them rarer and more valuable.
Serial Number: A number printed on limited-edition cards showing how many exist (e.g., /25 means only 25 copies were made).

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